Here’s why experts call last year’s spike in test scores a fluke

Don’t expect a giant bump in state test scores again this year, experts warn.

Reading test scores in district-run city schools leapt from a 30.4% pass rate in 2015 to a 38% pass rate in 2016, when the state eliminated time limits for the exams.

But this year, researchers are predicting smaller gains since there were no more changes to extend time limits in 2017.

“We shouldn’t see a giant leap. But to the extent that we see any change, it will be a better judge of student content knowledge,” said Alex Armlovich, a fellow at the Manhattan Institute who published a research brief on the subject Tuesday.

State education officials removed time limits for state reading and math tests in 2016 in an effort to create a fairer exam.

But critics such as Armlovich argue that the removal of the time limit created a big jump in reading scores relative to 2015.

State test scores are used in decisions to promote students and evaluate teachers and schools.

State Education Department officials said the 2017 scores will be released in the second half of August.

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