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METALS-Base metals struggle to find direction on rate cut outlook, weak demand

Updates prices

By Mai Nguyen

June 12 (Reuters)Moves in the pricesof base metals were mixedon Wednesday, as investors and traders bounced between rate cut outlook, supply disruption and weak demand, while short position holders also likely trimmed their exposures aheadof a key U.S. rate announcement.

Three-month copper on the London Metal Exchange CMCU3 rose 0.6% to $9,815 per metric ton by 0721GMT, while the most-traded July copper contract on the Shanghai Futures Exchange SCFcv1 closed down 0.3% at 79,880 yuan ($11,012.16) a ton.

LME copper has fallen for three weeks straight but is up 0.5% so far this week. The contract hit its record high of $11,104.50 on May 20.

“Big day today. U.S. inflation data and Fed meeting outcome. Momentum shorts could be lightening their bets,” said Sandeep Daga, a director at Metal Intelligence Centre, but noted he expected prices to fall.

“I find fundamental and technical outlook of metals pointing for more downside in the weeks to come. Inflation data and Fed outcome could either accelerate the downside or bring up a spike worth selling into,” he said.

The U.S. Federal Reserve is expected to cut rates sometime this year, although it is unclear at what level and when. FEDWATCH

“$9,700 is a big number. A break lower could push it to the $8,700-$9,000 range,” Daga added.

A trader said physical copper demand has not picked up significantly despite the recent price falls, and added that buyers will purchase more if the copper price falls to $9,500.

However, it is difficult for copper to hit that level because the tightness in mine supply and looming U.S. rate cuts will continue to support prices, the trader said.

“If the price is kept at this level for more than two months, downstream copper users will have to accept. It just needs some time to transmit (the increasing cost) to end users,” said the trader.

LME aluminium CMAL3 was almost flat at $2,532.50a ton, while nickelCMNI3 increased 0.7% to $17,945, zinc CMZN3 climbed 0.9% to $2,797, lead CMPB3 increased 0.5% to $2,166.50 and tin CMSN3 jumped 3% to $32,875.

SHFE nickel SNIcv1 eased 0.1% to 139,770yuan a ton, tin SSNcv1 jumped 3% to 272,990yuan, while aluminium SAFcv1 edged down 0.6% at 20,800 yuan, zinc SZNcv1 fell 0.7% at 23,555 yuan and lead SPBcv1 shed 0.7% to 18,635yuan.

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($1 = 7.2538 Chinese yuan renminbi)

Reporting by Mai Nguyen in Hanoi; Editing by Janane Venkatraman

 For related news and prices, click on the codes in brackets: LME price overview RING= COMEX copper futures 0#HG: All metals news MTL All commodities news C 
Foreign exchange rates FX=SPEED GUIDES LME/INDEX



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