“One day does not a major uptrend make.” Bullish stock investors should temper the enthusiasm with which they greeted the stock market’s explosive rally in the wake of this month’s better-than-expected report on inflation. That’s because huge rallies are more likely to occur during bear markets rather than in major …
Read More »The stock market may be ignoring this ‘bad news’ as earnings get under way
BlackRock strategists aren’t holding their breath for U.S. corporate earnings to finally turn positive in the third quarter. While many investors have been hoping the S&P 500 index SPX will finally shrug off a string of negative quarters to post slightly positive earnings growth in the third quarter, a team …
Read More »Chinese stocks have erased 4½ years of gains as foreign investors flee at record pace
The situation in Chinese markets is going from bad to worse. As of Monday, Chinese stocks have now erased all of their gains from the past 4½ years, the latest dismal milestone during what has been a difficult year for the world’s second-largest economy. China’s CSI 300 index XX:000300 fell …
Read More »Opinion: Sell signs are popping up all over the stock market
The stock market, as measured by the S&P 500 Index SPX, is struggling to maintain some bullishness after bouncing off support at 4200 (and also bouncing off its 200-day Moving Average at the same time). There are certainly headwinds presented by yet another Mideast crisis, but the technical picture presents …
Read More »Why this once-overlooked stock-market sector is sending a warning signal about the economy
It hasn’t been a great year for investors to own stocks in the utilities sector – the worst-performing part of the U.S. stock market so far in 2023 – but that could be coming to an end. The S&P 500 Utilities Sector XX:SP500.55 has stood its ground in September as …
Read More »Has it become easier to beat the market?
No, it has not all of a sudden become easier to beat the market. Keep that in mind as you come across recent arguments to the contrary. It’s always tempting to believe you can beat the market in your 401(k)s, IRAs, and other retirement portfolios. But this temptation becomes irresistible …
Read More »Here’s the ‘triple power play’ that may rule stock-market returns, other assets for next 5 years
Three powerful dynamics in the global economy are expected to play a significant role in investors’ multi-asset allocations over the next five years, according to a 132-page report from Rotterdam-based asset manager Robeco. The first is labor’s likely increased bargaining power, with the outcome of any tussle between businesses and …
Read More »Watch this ‘canary in the coal mine’ for signs of trouble in markets, Neuberger Berman CIO says
Neuberger Berman, an asset manager with eight decades under its belt, is on the lookout for cracks in credit markets from the Federal Reserve’s rate-hiking campaign. Erik Knutzen, chief investment officer of multi asset, worries that several factors could be a tipping point for the economy, from an economic slowdown …
Read More »Treasury market returns are negative again. Why this time is different than 2022.
Yearly returns in the Treasury market slipped into negative territory this week as the market sold off on signs that the Federal Reserve may need to keep rates high for a while to contain inflation. While negative returns might stir bad memories of last year’s shocking losses for bonds, stocks …
Read More »This bank is warning of a summer risk burnout that will keep pressure on markets
The bond market is the main question preoccupying strategists at the moment. Even after the big drop in yields following the jobs report, the 10-year yield BX:TMUBMUSD10Y has climbed 24 basis points over the last three weeks, and the 30-year BX:TMUBMUSD30Y has jumped 31 basis points. Mike Wilson, Morgan Stanley’s …
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