Gold prices moved lower on Tuesday as traders adopted a cautious stance ahead of the publication of the Federal Reserve’s latest policy meeting minutes, which are expected to provide fresh clues on the outlook for US interest rates.
By 05:30 ET (09:30 GMT), spot gold had fallen 1.0% to US$4,124.28 an ounce, while gold futures were down 0.8% at US$4,136.29 an ounce.
Stronger dollar weighs on bullion
Gold came under pressure as the US dollar strengthened alongside a rise in benchmark 10-year US Treasury yields, which climbed to their highest level in two weeks.
A firmer dollar typically reduces demand for gold by making the precious metal more expensive for buyers using other currencies.
“[Foreign exchange] volatility may stay capped ahead of tomorrow’s FOMC minutes and given a rather empty U.S. data calendar today,” analysts at ING said in a research note.
Markets look to Fed minutes for policy clues
Investor attention is firmly focused on the minutes from the Federal Reserve’s June meeting, scheduled for release later this week.
At that meeting, policymakers left interest rates unchanged within a target range of 3.5% to 3.75%, although several officials indicated that another rate increase could still be appropriate before the end of the year.
Meanwhile, new Federal Reserve Chair Kevin Warsh has said he does not favour providing forward guidance on interest rates. However, speaking at an event last week, he acknowledged that inflation risks have eased.
Rate outlook remains uncertain
Market expectations continue to be shaped by softer-than-expected US employment data released last week and lower oil prices following the interim ceasefire agreement reached between the United States and Iran in June.
Investors remain uncertain about how the Federal Reserve will balance easing inflationary pressures against the need to maintain restrictive monetary policy. Higher interest rates generally reduce the appeal of non-yielding assets such as gold.
According to the CME FedWatch Tool, traders currently assign a 56% probability to a rate increase in September, compared with around 60% before the latest employment report.
Gold price