Synopsis
Tactical investing should not be confused with long-term investing. In a world where geopolitical risk, commodity shocks, and uncertainty are likely to stay high, investors need to think in terms of ecosystems, not just short-term price moves. A short-term bounce is not the same as a long-term growth path. Long-term money needs a different question and a different answer, which might appear wrong when the whole market is green. But remember: The Nifty’s moves for a few sessions is different from growth of earnings that the market seeks.
There is a fair chance that the Indian markets will open positively on Monday. If the US-Iran ceasefire talks move ahead and the Strait of Hormuz opens up, crude prices could cool and risk appetite should improve. For India, this matters directly. Lower crude means less pressure on the import bill, inflation, the rupee, and corporate margins – as also disposable income. The initial market reaction is easy to predict in such a scenario. Stocks
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